Boring-Dissonance
0xecc605abd3bc29ad7621d7fc6bc363013144b97a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
166
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-722.14
Realised
$13.47
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 166- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on June 2?
1100 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 29?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 6?
798 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 57°F or below on June 6?
673 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 25?
639 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-3.83
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 11?
516 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.14
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on July 2?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on June 6?
487 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on June 6?
480 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.03
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 28?
440 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 38°C on July 17?$8.93Jul 17, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 17?$9.00Jul 16, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C or below on July 16?$12.00Jul 16, 14:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 16?$54.43Jul 15, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 15?$17.96Jul 15, 23:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 14?$0.35Jul 15, 22:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 15?$7.05Jul 15, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 15?$10.80Jul 15, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 16?$8.54Jul 15, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 15?$2.50Jul 15, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 15?$4.72Jul 15, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 15?$0.49Jul 15, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on July 15?$1.25Jul 15, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 15?$4.26Jul 15, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 15?$0.48Jul 15, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 15?$1.31Jul 15, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on July 15?$0.62Jul 15, 04:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 14?$5.99Jul 15, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 14?$14.98Jul 15, 04:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on July 14?$19.98Jul 15, 04:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 10, 07:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 05:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.