Vapid-Curse
0xecc9d07c3f67a522bad6f447d6cf05e119b5e261
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-42.39
Realised
$-4.52
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?
1543 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-7.98
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?
385 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
128 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?
95 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.77
- YES
Will France strike Iran by April 30?
92 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?
78 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
77 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.61May 7, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$5.00Apr 5, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$5.00Apr 5, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Syria in March?$0.16Apr 1, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$0.41Apr 1, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$0.23Apr 1, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$3.96Apr 1, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 14 and 17 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?$1.00Mar 31, 21:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$0.11Mar 31, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET$1.00Mar 31, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.01Mar 31, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.01Mar 31, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.28Mar 31, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.07Mar 31, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$0.61Mar 31, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Syria in March?$1.00Mar 31, 05:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$2.00Mar 31, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$5.00Mar 31, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$3.00Mar 30, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in March 2026?$1.00Mar 30, 22:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $1.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 30, 20:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 21:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.