Delirious-Associate
0xeccf5ec35c1221e0afe4d783c5a88bedfffefc88
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$10.33
Total PnL
$-145.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
10 shares @ 48.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$10.33
$5.33
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
1007 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in September?
183 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google reach $355 in November?
109 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?
107 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$25.78Mar 3, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$10.00Mar 3, 01:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$2.44Mar 3, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET$1.06Mar 3, 01:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.13Mar 3, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$1.00Mar 3, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$5.00Mar 3, 01:06 UTC
- REDEEMCounter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$47.28Mar 3, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1$27.37Mar 2, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN - Map 1 Winner$27.37Mar 2, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs paiN - Map 1 Winner$17.81Mar 2, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs$5.00Mar 2, 11:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 01:10 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 01:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.