Quick-Principle
0xecd24347053ec4c81b373297d2fe8b23b318b769
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-253.69
Realised
$-77.21
Win rate
0%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 9, 1PM ET
273 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-4.10
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 5?
267 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 12?
263 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.89
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?
261 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.76
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 8?
258 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 8?
253 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.03
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on January 3?
247 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 13?
246 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
243 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 17?
240 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.44
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 25?$96.73Jul 25, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 25?$95.57Jul 25, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 23?$2.71Jul 22, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 12?$2.45Jul 11, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 7?$101.45Jul 7, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 7?$0.12Jul 7, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 7?$99.81Jul 7, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 4?$106.09Jun 4, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 4?$103.65Jun 3, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $90 on May 26?$3.34May 25, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 23?$83.07May 23, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 23?$79.83May 23, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 23?$3.89May 22, 16:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 16?$93.02May 16, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on May 16?$91.53May 15, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 9?$1.76May 9, 00:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 8?$79.98May 8, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on May 8?$77.98May 8, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 6?$22.45May 8, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 15?$68.28May 1, 14:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $37.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 20:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 16:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.