Unpleasant-Ultimatum
0xecd5182623674da435bc77103e77e0926520b631
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
32
Open notional
$4.55
Total PnL
$-155.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.55
$3.55
- OVER
Jets vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5
53 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-27.99
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DODGERS
Blue Jays vs. Dodgers
45 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-20.88
- YES
Will Jenna Ortega be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?
36 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
34 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 win on 2025-10-29?
31 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- CAVALIERS
Cavaliers vs. Celtics
19 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 24?
19 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.11
- STEELERS
Packers vs. Steelers
18 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-8.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYJets vs. Patriots: O/U 42.5$27.99Nov 14, 01:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?$4.63Nov 4, 00:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1.86Oct 30, 06:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBroncos vs. Texans$17.78Oct 30, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out in 2025?$0.79Oct 30, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.09Oct 30, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $4400 and $4500 at the end of 2025?$1.01Oct 30, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-29?$8.60Oct 30, 06:24 UTC
- TRADESELLGrizzlies vs. Suns$27.59Oct 30, 04:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$1.66Oct 30, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Los Angeles FC win on 2025-10-29?$3.36Oct 30, 04:11 UTC
- TRADESELLToronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5$18.36Oct 30, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Suns$13.26Oct 30, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBroncos vs. Texans$10.00Oct 30, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Celtics$5.00Oct 30, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$4.00Oct 30, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi shake hands for less than 2 seconds on October 30, 2025?$1.00Oct 30, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYToronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5$10.00Oct 29, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)$10.00Oct 29, 22:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1903 win on 2025-10-29?$5.00Oct 29, 17:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $7.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 20, 19:04 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 14, 01:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.