Functional-Sunset
0xecd57e9b5156f7bec814ae36e6a9833ac865d096
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-3.7K
Realised
$-1.8K
Win rate
0%
62 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 18?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-263.68
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 18?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2PM ET
375 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Galatasaray SK vs. Juventus FC end in a draw?
356 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 18?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
283 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-82.86
- YES
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-17?
267 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
263 shares @ 35.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-92.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
250 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-72.45
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$0.00Jul 16, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$1.05Jul 16, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$1.05Jul 16, 15:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.15Jul 16, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$1.01Jul 16, 15:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$2.27Jul 16, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.01Jul 16, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$1.01Jul 16, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.06Jul 16, 11:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.47Jul 16, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$1.02Jul 16, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.27Jul 16, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$1.01Jul 16, 10:43 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.09Jul 16, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.03Jul 16, 09:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.54Jul 16, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$1.02Jul 16, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.09Jul 16, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$1.01Jul 16, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.04Jul 16, 09:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
59/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 62 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 29/100.
62 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $10.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 15, 23:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 15:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 62 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.