Frank-Buffer
0xecd9c79128cf21ec4b2d5e0102dead0141c75565
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$34.44
Total PnL
$-140.88
Realised
$-2.52
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the most viewed episode of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 3.5 million and 3.75 million viewers?
20 shares @ 53.0¢·now 34.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$6.90
$-3.70
- NO
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from São Paulo?
20 shares @ 52.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$4.90
$-5.50
- YES
Will the most viewed TV show for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 7.5 million and 8 million viewers?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$4.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the most viewed episode of ABC World News Tonight for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 7.5 million and 8 million viewers?
20 shares @ 44.3¢·now 18.7¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$3.74
$-5.12
- YES
Will Wednesday be the most viewed day of ABC World News Tonight for the week of August 10 - August 16?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$2.20
$-8.00
- YES
Will the most viewed episode of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16 have at least 3.75 million viewers?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$2.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Saturday be the most viewed day of ABC World News Tonight for the week of August 10 - August 16?
20 shares @ 42.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$1.90
$-6.50
- YES
Will the most viewed TV show for the week of August 10 - August 16 have between 9 million and 9.5 million viewers?
20 shares @ 58.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$1.80
$-9.80
- YES
Will Tuesday be the most viewed day of ABC World News Tonight for the week of August 10 - August 16?
15 shares @ 47.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$1.77
$-5.16
- YES
Will Thursday be the most viewed day of ABC World News Tonight for the week of August 10 - August 16?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 8.7¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$1.74
$-8.06
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?$0.79Aug 17, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Piauí?$1.00Aug 17, 20:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 18?$7.09Aug 17, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 18?$9.80Aug 17, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?$12.80Aug 17, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 18?$1.01Aug 17, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on August 18?$1.04Aug 17, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 18?$2.29Aug 17, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 18?$2.35Aug 17, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of August 17 2026?$12.62Aug 17, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $63 Week of August 17 2026?$13.00Aug 17, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?$15.80Aug 17, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$39.17Aug 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Fishback finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?$40.00Aug 17, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 19?$1.54Aug 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 19?$1.59Aug 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?$9.97Aug 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on August 19?$10.80Aug 17, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 19?$9.75Aug 17, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 19?$10.00Aug 17, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
4/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 17, 18:54 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 17, 20:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.