Second-Hand-Tummy
0xecda87aea4ecf93c01a5fbc22e20845acce39a9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$312.14
Total PnL
$-1.63
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
200 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$199.30
$-0.50
- NO
Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
105 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$104.52
$-0.28
- NO
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?
8 shares @ 96.5¢·now 94.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.81
$-0.13
- YES
Will Bill Gates Jr. win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.7¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.33
$-0.68
- YES
Will Tim Walz win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election?
70 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.18
$-0.04
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$100.00Jun 23, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$5.01Jun 23, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$99.81Jun 23, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$199.81Jun 23, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$99.62Jun 15, 18:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$50.00Jun 15, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?$49.90Jun 8, 19:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$200.00Jun 2, 20:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 200+ posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$82.00Jun 2, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?$1.4KJun 1, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$115.59May 27, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill CZ post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$52.90May 26, 21:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$200.00May 25, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?$1.4KMay 23, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?$199.81May 23, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 180-199 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$115.48May 23, 18:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 160-179 posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$52.85May 23, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$199.43May 23, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CZ post 200+ posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$81.84May 23, 18:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$302.00May 22, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $154.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 15:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 23, 18:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.