Firm-Harpsichord
0xece1db6b91e0aa0c5c39948470e1b8090d18a49e
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$12.79
Total PnL
$-621.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?
13 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$12.79
$0.06
- FK SHAKHTAR DONETSK
Spread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)
578 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-156.06
- YES
Will Ragne Wiklund (NOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
288 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-28.49
- FC DALLAS
Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)
274 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-49.39
- YES
Will Livingston FC win on 2026-03-14?
262 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-36.63
- YES
Will the U.K.'s annual inflation increase by 3.0% in December?
247 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-15.80
- NO
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of January 12 above $225?
237 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-9.49
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 41.5 and 41.9 on February 20, 2026?
219 shares @ 96.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-212.54
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 24?
211 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-17.70
- NO
Will Wagner Moura be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
198 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-17.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on June 1?$12.73May 28, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $375-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?$1.6KApr 25, 21:52 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)$542.84Apr 20, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) close at $375-$380 on the final day of trading of the week of Apr 20 – Apr 24?$172.49Apr 20, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)$439.70Apr 13, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Kilmarnock FC (-1.5)$601.52Apr 6, 23:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: SC Paderborn 07 (-2.5)$213.99Apr 6, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: SC Paderborn 07 (-2.5)$175.47Apr 2, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Kilmarnock FC (-1.5)$541.37Apr 1, 22:04 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Trail Blazers$287.31Apr 1, 19:03 UTC
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Bucks$406.76Apr 1, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Bucks$301.00Mar 23, 19:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-03-21?$168.00Mar 23, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Trail Blazers$89.07Mar 23, 10:24 UTC
- REDEEMHannover 96 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 4.5$254.39Mar 22, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-03-21?$127.68Mar 17, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYHannover 96 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig: O/U 4.5$188.25Mar 16, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMKashima Antlers vs. Kawasaki Frontale: O/U 1.5$292.00Mar 14, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5)$156.06Mar 14, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: FC Dallas (-1.5)$49.39Mar 12, 04:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $104.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 1, 05:16 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 11:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".