Tasty-Caramel
0xece28c0f2a0bcb96a15e19124e0843f24fc2b6d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
149
Open notional
$10.71
Total PnL
$-192.82
Realised
$14.69
Win rate
100%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 149- YES
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
12 shares @ 8.2¢·now 24.1¢·exp May 16, 2026$2.93
$1.93
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 5.9¢·exp May 16, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- NO
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?
5 shares @ 3.6¢·now 19.7¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.04
$0.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.90
$-0.10
- NO
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- UP
XRP Up or Down on May 16?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.20 in May?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.67
$-0.33
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 21?
23 shares @ 4.3¢·now 2.6¢·exp May 21, 2026$0.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.55
$-0.45
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?$1.00May 16, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP reach $1.60 May 11-17?$0.11May 16, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 16?$1.07May 16, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?$1.07May 16, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 16?$1.07May 15, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on May 16?$1.04May 15, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 16?$1.04May 15, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?$5.78May 15, 22:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4AM ET$1.05May 15, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 15?$1.05May 15, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on May 15?$1.04May 15, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.80 on May 21?$1.07May 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.80 in May?$1.06May 15, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$4.45May 15, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.20 in May?$1.07May 15, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win Eurovision 2026?$0.28May 15, 03:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$1.05May 15, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 15?$1.07May 14, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump Insult Xi this week?$0.47May 14, 13:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 15?$1.07May 14, 11:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 01:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 03:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".