Orange-Walking
0xece4a572234d755c7660bb2486e3eed3b40ab400
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$2.85
Total PnL
$-525.91
Realised
$-81.43
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
193 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.44
$-50.56
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 94.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?
70000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
5939 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
3333 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
2037 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?
829 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-59.35
- YES
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?
372 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?
327 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by March 31?
135 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?$1.00Apr 18, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?$70.00Apr 18, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$20.00Apr 11, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$10.00Apr 11, 05:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Hungary" or "Hungarian" 8+ times during meetings with Orbán?$5.00Apr 4, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Crazy" during meetings with Orbán?$20.00Apr 4, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$15.00Apr 4, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?$10.00Mar 30, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$5.00Mar 30, 11:36 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$118.57Mar 30, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$100.00Mar 23, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$70.55Mar 23, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$67.46Mar 23, 22:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$48.35Mar 22, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$23.78Mar 22, 09:53 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?$23.81Mar 22, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$11.00Mar 22, 06:47 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$11.00Mar 22, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$2.00Mar 20, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$40.00Mar 20, 15:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $41.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 11:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 18, 20:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.