Wary-Toast
0xece65269b6bdf4299aafef848cf8f3f25751ad58
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$10.09
Total PnL
$-9.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
229 shares @ 3.5¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.05
$1.03
- YES
Will Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.04
$0.04
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
5363 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-2.7K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
3000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET
2333 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
1001 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-500.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.02Apr 1, 07:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$3.04Apr 1, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$3.06Apr 1, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill January 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$3.00Feb 7, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bridgerton: Season 4" be the top global Netflix show this week? (February 10)$3.00Feb 7, 03:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?$1.03Feb 7, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's December 2025 meeting?$1.04Feb 7, 03:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.08Feb 7, 03:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 8, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Olivia rank #1 among girl names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$1.00Dec 9, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump make no announcement by December 31 to replace Lisa Cook?$1.00Dec 3, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 27, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$6.0KNov 12, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$0.00Nov 12, 03:48 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.0KNov 12, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$3.0KNov 12, 03:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$0.00Nov 12, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$0.00Nov 12, 03:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $500.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 12, 02:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".