Conscious-Cholesterol
0xece8d37d183647701ad6936bc32e9661cf1e4edb
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
78
Open notional
$29.85
Total PnL
$-3.0K
Realised
$6.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
7 shares @ 91.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$6.55
$0.55
- YES
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.32
$0.32
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$5.03
$0.03
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.56
$0.56
- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 8.2¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 91.5¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.99
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$21.34May 31, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$20.01May 29, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.00May 29, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$1.01May 29, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 29, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02May 16, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 16, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 16, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$5.00May 16, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$1.01May 16, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$1.01May 16, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$1.01May 16, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.03May 16, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.01May 16, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.01May 16, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.01May 16, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1.00May 4, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5.01May 4, 08:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$1.01May 4, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by April 30?$2.06May 4, 08:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $35.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 26, 14:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 06:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".