Visible-Outhouse
0xece92a65b8c847f775c6b806891c6bd90ef975a4
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$11.47
Total PnL
$493.73
Realised
$496.56
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?
11 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$11.47
$8.95
- ISLANDERS
Capitals vs. Islanders
7 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.37
- NO
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?
7 shares @ 98.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-6.91
- YES
Will "Oh, Mary!" win the Tony for Best Play 2025?
2 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?$2.52Feb 14, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Rams win the NFC West?$3.00Feb 14, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$4.13Feb 14, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?$7.83Feb 14, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMDucks vs. Blackhawks$10.00Feb 14, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.03Feb 14, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMHornets vs. Magic$12.00Feb 14, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$145.00Feb 14, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYHornets vs. Magic$3.72Dec 26, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$144.28Nov 30, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Nov 30, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Blackhawks$4.60Nov 30, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Islanders$3.37Nov 30, 13:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 25% on August 15?$2.00Nov 30, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dalitso Kabame win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?$3.07Nov 30, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Los Angeles Angels win the AL West Division?$3.31Nov 30, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill monthly inflation increase by 0.5% or more in July?$3.42Nov 30, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3800 on September 10?$3.61Nov 30, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the St. Louis Cardinals win the NL Central Division?$4.21Nov 30, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trygve Slagsvold Vedum become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$5.00Nov 30, 12:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $15.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 19:17 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 13:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.