Loose-Toad
0xececbffcbb00f3cb369e58993480d824f095b65d
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.15
Total PnL
$-188.83
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
42 shares @ 7.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.15
$-0.85
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
2667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $0.90 on February 28?
1333 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.96
- NO
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?
176 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-68.74
- SRI LANKA
T20 World Cup: Sri Lanka vs Pakistan
155 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-63.74
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
41 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-03-02?
34 shares @ 62.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-21.24
- YES
Will a hurricane form by May 31?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UNDER
Derby County FC vs. Blackburn Rovers FC: O/U 2.5
6 shares @ 59.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$36.77Mar 3, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$3.37Mar 3, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?$1.10Mar 3, 11:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 11:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 3, 12:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".