Experienced-Series
0xeced899e5da49dd21b4f0d22823cf2c39496c598
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$377.35
Total PnL
$-50.94
Realised
$4.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- NO
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?
84 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$70.56
$-0.84
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
390 shares @ 16.7¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$69.53
$4.48
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
389 shares @ 15.6¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$63.68
$2.92
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
389 shares @ 11.2¢·now 11.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$43.81
$0.20
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
390 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$34.47
$0.97
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
389 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$33.65
$-1.40
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
389 shares @ 7.8¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.19
$-0.19
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
389 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.06
$-0.58
- YES
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
57 shares @ 6.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.31
$0.86
- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.59
$2.59
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$31.323h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$17.403h ago
- TRADESELLWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$34.803h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026?$153.005h ago
- YIELD$0.0310h ago
- YIELD$0.031d ago
- YIELD$0.032d ago
- YIELD$0.033d ago
- TRADESELLWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of May 4 2026?$28.504d ago
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 8?$100.904d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.50 Week of May 4 2026?$28.374d ago
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on May 8?$100.904d ago
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 7?$59.944d ago
- YIELD$0.034d ago
- YIELD$0.035d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$38.176d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$0.416d ago
- TRADESELLUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$0.416d ago
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?$36.536d ago
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 7?$58.806d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $32.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 135d ago
- Last active
- 3h ago
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
