Bowed-Hippodrome
0xecef6c48780c204e18aef3025d9db356eb3cfac5
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$10.96
Total PnL
$0.52
Realised
$-0.03
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?
8 shares @ 95.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$7.74
$0.37
- YES
Walz and Vance debate on Oct 1?
1 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2024$1.09
$0.05
- YES
Harris-Walz Democratic ticket on election day?
1 shares @ 93.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Kamala Harris drop out of presidential race?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$1.06
$0.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWalz and Vance debate on Oct 1?$0.39Sep 20, 22:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump lead by 0.5 or more points on September 20?$0.39Sep 20, 22:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump lead by 0.5 or more points on September 20?$0.38Sep 11, 12:49 UTC
- REDEEM2024 August hottest on record?$0.37Sep 11, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWalz and Vance debate on Oct 1?$0.07Sep 8, 17:48 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 September hottest on record?$0.08Sep 8, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWalz and Vance debate on Oct 1?$0.58Sep 6, 23:44 UTC
- REDEEMFavorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?$0.58Sep 6, 23:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFavorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?$0.56Sep 6, 03:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala lead in RCP by 3+ September 6?$0.56Sep 6, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala lead in RCP by 3+ September 6?$0.54Sep 1, 12:51 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump sentenced to no prison time?$0.54Sep 1, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 September hottest on record?$0.38Sep 1, 12:42 UTC
- TRADESELL2024 August hottest on record?$0.38Sep 1, 12:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$0.00Aug 28, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYTim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?$2.86Aug 24, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$0.05Aug 24, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.77Aug 24, 01:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump lead on August 30?$1.06Aug 24, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala lead by by 0.5-0.9 August 23?$0.00Aug 24, 01:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 16:11 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 20, 22:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".