Remarkable-Bather
0xecf69c317961b282a1aa7f6cd8b84679dbe0e304
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
54
Open notional
$649.73
Total PnL
$-9.6K
Realised
$10.14
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 54- YES
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?
1250 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$193.75
$-6.25
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?
3333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$183.33
$-16.66
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?
8712 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$100.19
$0.20
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
188 shares @ 9.3¢·now 41.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$78.43
$60.96
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?
2381 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$53.57
$3.57
- YES
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?
1316 shares @ 3.8¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$29.61
$-20.39
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
250 shares @ 12.0¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.85
$-19.15
- YES
Will England win on 2026-07-15?
24752 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-8.9K
- YES
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Morocco?
2000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?$52.45Jul 16, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?$52.40Jul 16, 09:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?$104.20Jul 16, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?$104.70Jul 16, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?$52.47Jul 16, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?$104.20Jul 16, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?$104.70Jul 16, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?$52.47Jul 16, 08:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?$375.00Jul 15, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$13.5KJul 15, 21:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$9.2KJul 15, 15:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?$31.38Jul 15, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$7.3KJul 15, 13:54 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?$5.21Jul 13, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?$5.23Jul 13, 16:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: France 2 - 1 Spain?$5.22Jul 13, 16:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
13/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $478.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 6, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 09:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.