Shimmering-Blog
0xed0f974f45f0049910eb2329c15b2a3f5dd4fc07
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$60.00
Total PnL
$-175.01
Realised
$-29.89
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?
60 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$60.00
$18.60
- YES
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?
150 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-37.50
- YES
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?
100 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?
75 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.25
- YES
Will the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?
59 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-14.04
- NO
Will Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?
55 shares @ 84.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-46.53
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
32 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTrump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$26.25Jan 22, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$25.00Jan 16, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$12.00Jan 5, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$41.40Dec 23, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$11.66Dec 23, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + JA21 + D66?$2.38Dec 23, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$66.41Dec 23, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?$46.53Dec 21, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$10.00Dec 12, 08:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$10.70Dec 11, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?$26.00Dec 10, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$67.47Dec 10, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$0.55Dec 9, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Dutch government be VVD + CDA + D66?$55.00Dec 8, 09:44 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$42.50Dec 8, 09:43 UTC
- TRADESELLMaduro out in 2025?$11.84Dec 8, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$63.00Dec 8, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JA21 be part of the next Government of the Netherlands?$20.45Dec 8, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?$31.00Dec 5, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fortuna Sittard vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?$6.50Dec 5, 11:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $32.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 24, 09:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 14:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".