Gregarious-Carving
0xed15e2139080f3f058316055a2d9aa92264e14df
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$139.78
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?
140 shares @ 71.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$139.78
$39.78
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 17?
7422 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
4810 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.6K
- YES
Will the government shutdown end November 15?
2761 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?
1757 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
1076 shares @ 21.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-232.93
- YES
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for between 10 and 15 seconds on November 10 2025?
733 shares @ 27.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 10 2025?
723 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?
682 shares @ 86.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-592.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
600 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 9, 2025$0.00
$-420.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 15?$20.00Nov 13, 10:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 17?$50.00Nov 13, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the government shutdown end November 12?$516.68Nov 12, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 13?$3.6KNov 12, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 12?$500.00Nov 12, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$50.00Nov 12, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?$833.33Nov 11, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$0.60Nov 11, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$3.3KNov 11, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Syria President events on November 10?$592.38Nov 10, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Handsome / Attractive" during Syria President events on November 10?$50.00Nov 10, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 2025?$20.00Nov 10, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for 15 seconds or more on November 10 2025?$150.00Nov 10, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa shake hands for between 10 and 15 seconds on November 10 2025?$200.00Nov 10, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Obliterated / Obliteration / Obliterating" during Syria President events on November 10?$100.00Nov 10, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 12-15?$144.73Nov 9, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$32.93Nov 9, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$100.00Nov 9, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$100.00Nov 9, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel allow independent journalists into Gaza by December 31?$100.00Nov 9, 19:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $273.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 18:09 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 13, 10:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".