Sympathetic-String
0xed1c32ebb8cf68f65644984b03e02b64cfec2c9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1493 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-50.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
641 shares @ 54.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-347.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
567 shares @ 34.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-196.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
535 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-89.56
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
385 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
354 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-178.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
337 shares @ 43.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-147.68
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Mar 21?
312 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2025$0.00
$-49.87
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
282 shares @ 33.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-94.37
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
280 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-79.18
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$358.88May 25, 15:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$360.19May 25, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$216.07May 25, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$105.18May 25, 14:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$0.00May 25, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$136.74May 25, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$12.75May 25, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$0.00May 25, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$99.76May 25, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$98.77May 24, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$99.49May 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$87.70May 17, 06:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$185.66May 17, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET$167.34May 17, 06:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$0.00May 16, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$120.09May 16, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$119.72May 16, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$111.64May 16, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$385.83May 15, 12:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$371.06May 15, 12:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $124.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 27, 09:04 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 15:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.