Formal-Asphalt
0xed229d040eac1bb1cdada3c7fc6009f5c0426450
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$343.99
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-387.22
Win rate
29%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- NO
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13?
344 shares @ 41.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$343.99
$202.44
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C or higher on March 23?
3080 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 13°C on April 9?
2629 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-42.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on April 7?
1538 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-51.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on April 9?
1261 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-33.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 14°C on April 9?
1214 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-23.82
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on April 7?
964 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-17.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on April 9?
963 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-49.03
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C on April 4?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?
707 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-414.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13?$63.01Jun 13, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13?$9.50Jun 13, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13?$14.86Jun 13, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13?$58.34Jun 13, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$5.62Jun 13, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$6.50Jun 13, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$23.88Jun 13, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$20.14Jun 13, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$1.01Jun 13, 06:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$39.82Jun 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$12.94Jun 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$46.41Jun 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13?$11.87Jun 13, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13?$6.80Jun 13, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13?$4.66Jun 13, 05:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13?$1.16Jun 13, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 13?$9.56Jun 13, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$35.00Jun 13, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$11.10Jun 13, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13?$21.60Jun 13, 05:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $15.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 08:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 06:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.