Formal-Asphalt
0xed229d040eac1bb1cdada3c7fc6009f5c0426450
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$629.31
Total PnL
$-2.4K
Realised
$-491.34
Win rate
21%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?
618 shares @ 59.7¢·now 36.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$222.66
$-146.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 27?
279 shares @ 76.2¢·now 63.5¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$177.03
$-35.51
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on April 28?
200 shares @ 86.9¢·now 83.5¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$166.78
$-6.71
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on April 27?
62 shares @ 77.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$62.26
$13.96
- YES
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C or higher on March 23?
3080 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-11.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 13°C on April 9?
2629 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-42.59
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on April 7?
1538 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-51.12
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 5°C on April 9?
1261 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$0.00
$-33.37
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 27?$76.442m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 27?$7.486m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 27?$28.186m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 27?$3.9027m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 27?$11.7027m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on April 27?$87.2227m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on April 27?$10.7533m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on April 27?$3.7434m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on April 27?$5.7034m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on April 27?$33.7334m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on April 27?$43.0057m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on April 27?$5.8558m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on April 27?$12.322h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on April 27?$100.052h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on April 28?$106.142h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on April 28?$68.502h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?$29.653h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on April 26?$123.883h ago
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on April 26?$194.673h ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?$14.0012h ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $33.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 1d ago
- Last active
- 2m ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.