Modern-Guest
0xed2a43c9691ae70355cfa5eaf830107311d2b12b
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$8.20
Total PnL
$-28.1K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
323 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.20
$-2.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
3993 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2338 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2335 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2335 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2331 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2330 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2329 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
2329 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2329 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.2K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 28, 00:28 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 26, 00:24 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 20, 00:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 18, 00:39 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 17, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.98Mar 14, 02:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.99Mar 14, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by February 28, 2026?$10.80Feb 7, 02:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $540 end of January?$1.00Feb 7, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?$1.02Feb 7, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Machado by January 16?$2.04Feb 7, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 16, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Machado by January 16?$2.00Jan 14, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Reza Pahlavi by January 31?$127.10Jan 14, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $540 end of January?$1.00Jan 14, 01:50 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - January 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$2.3KJan 4, 07:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $553.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 04:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 30, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".