Aggravating-Birdbath
0xed346febe32a205baa3462c287b2d9b301fb5f6a
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-99.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Musk say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?
224 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 22, 2025$0.00
$-17.07
- NO
Will Trump say 'Ukraine' during the 2025 State of the Union?
142 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.56
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
133 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will Trump say 'retard' or 'retarded' during the 2025 State of the Union?
120 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.16
- PENGUINS
Penguins vs. Avalanche
84 shares @ 41.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
- YES
Will Trump say 'term limit' during the 2025 State of the Union?
74 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.80
- YES
Will Trump say "Greenland" during Carney visit on May 6?
41 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Carney visit on May 6?
34 shares @ 59.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Trump say 'Hamas' during the 2025 State of the Union?
4 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.49
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Governor" during Carney visit on May 6?$47.56May 6, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during Carney visit on May 6?$20.00May 6, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Greenland" during Carney visit on May 6?$11.00May 6, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Governor" during Carney visit on May 6?$20.00May 6, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?$2.80May 6, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$57.55Apr 28, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$70.93Apr 28, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$46.97Apr 23, 05:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$54.41Apr 23, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Musk say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?$9.47Apr 22, 17:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Musk say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the Q1 2025 Tesla earnings call?$7.60Apr 22, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$50.00Apr 22, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$57.00Apr 22, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$50.35Apr 17, 21:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$50.35Apr 1, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Avalanche$35.00Mar 5, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'Ukraine' during the 2025 State of the Union?$2.00Mar 5, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say 'Ukraine' during the 2025 State of the Union?$2.56Mar 5, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say 'unemployment' during the 2025 State of the Union?$37.66Mar 5, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say 'China' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?$1.94Mar 5, 02:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $34.20
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 20:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 16:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".