Wrong-Cigarette
0xed44c815f268254b466f5ea3add3ac21d3384d7d
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-130.14
Realised
$-0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11AM ET
11000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 15-21?
849 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 22, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
621 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
300 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
300 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down on December 20?
57 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2025-12-14?
47 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will 1. FC Nürnberg win on 2025-12-14?
39 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 15-21?$0.16Dec 21, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on December 21?$1.00Dec 21, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 15-21?$0.23Dec 21, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 15-21?$0.53Dec 21, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on December 21?$1.00Dec 21, 14:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2025-12-21?$0.96Dec 21, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down on December 20?$1.00Dec 20, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.00Dec 20, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 20, 9AM ET$3.00Dec 20, 14:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.57Dec 20, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Dec 20, 02:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$10.00Dec 19, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11AM ET$10.00Dec 19, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 11AM ET$1.00Dec 19, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 15-21?$5.00Dec 19, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $92,000 December 15-21?$5.00Dec 19, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 15-21?$5.00Dec 19, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $96,000 December 15-21?$5.00Dec 19, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $98,000 December 15-21?$5.00Dec 19, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$3.00Dec 19, 10:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $3.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 17, 03:55 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 21, 16:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".