Honored-Antecedent
0xed45fc12c43aaa8e3af18976e971ff72280739d8
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-612.78
Realised
$-4.06
Win rate
42%
38 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- SUNRISERS HYDERABAD
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royals
40 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.24
- SOUTH AFRICA
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa
38 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
- UNDER
Norway vs. France: O/U 0.5
30 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- ROYAL CHALLENGERS BENGALURU
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru
28 shares @ 22.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- GUJARAT TITANS
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans
28 shares @ 32.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.05
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
23 shares @ 53.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-12.40
- YES
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
23 shares @ 63.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-14.60
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?
22 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-9.58
- SCOTLAND
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: West Indies vs Scotland
21 shares @ 19.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-4.21
- BANGLADESH
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia
21 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-7.15
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-07-23?$3.10Jul 23, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLAlashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: Both Teams to Score$3.10Jul 23, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlashkert FA vs. FC CFR 1907 Cluj: Both Teams to Score$1.53Jul 23, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hibernian FC win on 2026-07-23?$2.04Jul 23, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYT20 Series Zimbabwe vs India: Zimbabwe vs India$1.04Jul 23, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.32Jul 23, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.02Jul 23, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.70Jul 23, 10:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.03Jul 23, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$1.02Jul 23, 10:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$2.38Jul 23, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.34Jul 23, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.04Jul 23, 09:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$3.69Jul 23, 09:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.01Jul 23, 09:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.01Jul 23, 09:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.01Jul 23, 09:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$2.62Jul 23, 09:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 38 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 23/100.
38 closed markets, 42% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 21:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 16:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 38 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.