Obvious-Breadcrumb
0xed4957cc6002d373dcfac872a3f62f8a283d435a
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$13.97
Total PnL
$0.22
Realised
$-0.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump’s approval rating be 48.0–49.9% on December 31?
7 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$7.16
$0.29
- NO
Will annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?
6 shares @ 98.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.67
$0.07
- NO
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 National League Championship?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.14
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by less than 24% in December?$5.60Oct 25, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be 48.0–49.9% on December 31?$6.87Sep 20, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Letitia James win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$1.11Sep 20, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aaron Rodgers sign with the Indianapolis Colts?$1.14Sep 20, 14:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Whitney Tilson win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$1.14Sep 20, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?$2.9KJul 28, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?$2.9KJul 28, 12:41 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$2.8KJul 28, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?$2.8KJul 28, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship?$1.19May 29, 10:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill another party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?$1.06May 29, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill another team win the Serie A?$1.10May 29, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New Democratic Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?$1.13May 29, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayer Leverkusen win the Bundesliga?$1.13May 29, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2025 Stanley Cup?$7.10May 29, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in scoring?$1.08Apr 30, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye launch a token on Ethereum?$1.08Apr 30, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gonzaga win the Midwest region of the 2025 NCAA Tournament?$1.10Apr 30, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Edwards lead the NBA in scoring?$1.11Apr 30, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jaxson Dart be the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft?$1.13Apr 30, 05:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $370.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 12:44 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 25, 13:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".