Amused-Fortune
0xed4d2625baf3b56365bd4e3580b5ad83e956259c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-26.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Scottish Green Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Scottish Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
86 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
79 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will "Construction" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
40 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
31 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?
29 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
27 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
11 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$1.01May 9, 09:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottish Green Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$1.04May 5, 13:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$1.00May 5, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottish Liberal Democrats win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$1.04May 5, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$2.99May 5, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?$3.00May 5, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$2.76May 1, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$3.08May 1, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$3.82May 1, 12:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$1.60Apr 24, 02:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.90Apr 24, 02:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$1.00Apr 18, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?$2.00Apr 18, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?$2.00Apr 18, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?$4.00Apr 18, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$2.00Apr 18, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?$6.84Apr 17, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw?$1.00Apr 17, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLAston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5$0.97Apr 15, 20:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS Sassuolo Calcio vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5$0.95Apr 15, 20:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.