Terrific-Fallacy
0xed4dbeab923b0a48d7ee99eaaf6a324601f4d601
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$9.25
Total PnL
$-17.5K
Realised
$156.01
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?
9 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$9.25
$0.46
- NO
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
36069 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-6.1K
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?
30000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-390.00
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?
16000 shares @ 37.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-6.1K
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
9000 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.1K
- NO
Fogo FDV above $300M one day after launch?
7000 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.0K
- NO
USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?
5871 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-176.13
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5551 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.4K
- YES
Will the HBO documentary identify David Kleiman as Satoshi?
5000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Jim Hopper die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?
240 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?$72.97Apr 21, 12:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?$22.10Apr 21, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$3.0KApr 21, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?$0.09Apr 21, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?$17.11Apr 21, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?$7.73Apr 21, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?$25.42Apr 21, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?$8.39Apr 21, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?$36.00Apr 21, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch?$27.30Apr 21, 12:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$66.13Apr 21, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$121.00Apr 21, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$68.68Apr 21, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$121.00Apr 21, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$17.62Apr 21, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$548.98Apr 21, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$102.00Apr 21, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$51.00Apr 21, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$112.45Apr 21, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?$510.00Apr 21, 12:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $189.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 12:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.