Extraneous-Chill
0xed514be77e2208751da8270a4f71829457745176
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$5.04
Total PnL
$-12.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?
1 shares @ 98.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Trump deport less than 250,000?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1 shares @ 98.6¢·now 99.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
4000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
3800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
3800 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
3600 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
2100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130,000 in January?$1.00Jan 15, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.02Jan 15, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYCilia Flores released from custody by January 9, 2026?$1.00Jan 5, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Jan 5, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close under $2,500 at the end of 2025?$1.00Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Phil Galfond win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mikie Sherrill win by 12-15%?$1.01Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$1.01Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?$1.01Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$1.02Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$2.02Jan 5, 06:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $270 in November?$1.02Dec 2, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?$1.02Dec 2, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?$1.00Dec 2, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in November?$1.00Nov 26, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31?$1.00Nov 22, 07:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill between 380 and 389 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?$1.00Nov 22, 07:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election?$1.02Nov 22, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill between 380 and 389 house members vote “Yea” on an Epstein disclosure resolution/bill?$1.00Nov 18, 07:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 22, 11:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 07:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".