That-Actress
0xed5b7c39266559b27e554e639c982be93d3ba76a
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.9K
Realised
$-228.17
Win rate
67%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on January 24?
3461 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on January 17?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on January 22?
1838 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on January 19?
1039 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.94
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 78°F or higher on April 4?
635 shares @ 74.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2026$0.00
$-470.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 11°C on April 3?
544 shares @ 92.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-504.68
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120,000 and $122,000 on September 19?
500 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116,000 and $118,000 on September 19?
500 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-240.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118,000 and $120,000 on September 19?
500 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-170.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on April 3?
400 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 5?$93.94May 5, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 5?$29.51May 5, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on May 5?$27.41May 5, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 5?$7.48May 5, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 5?$60.93May 5, 11:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 2?$20.56May 2, 12:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 2?$119.31May 2, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 2?$18.73May 2, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 2?$1.24May 2, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on May 2?$95.43May 2, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 2?$0.46May 2, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 2?$3.17May 2, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 2?$1.69May 2, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on May 2?$5.26May 2, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on May 2?$0.13May 2, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on May 2?$8.95May 2, 09:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 1?$80.75May 1, 19:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 1?$2.00May 1, 19:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 1?$42.00May 1, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on May 1?$1.88May 1, 19:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 41/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $22.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 05:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 12:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.