Probable-Racer
0xed626197c7c1722baeb91e0b5f3110c1e956fdaa
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$108.91
Total PnL
$-8.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
49 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$48.91
$3.91
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $5000 in August?
20 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$20.00
$5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
20 shares @ 43.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$20.00
$11.40
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?
10 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.00
$4.20
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
10 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$10.00
$2.10
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?
45 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $117K on July 18?
20 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.28
- YES
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4600 in August?
20 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2025$0.00
$-9.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $118K and $119K on July 18?
11 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLXi Jinping out before October?$5.07Sep 7, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Hungary?$5.00Aug 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4800 in August?$7.88Aug 19, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?$20.00Aug 19, 21:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?$7.90Aug 10, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?$5.80Aug 10, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5000 in August?$15.00Aug 10, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4600 in August?$9.80Aug 10, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?$11.72Aug 7, 21:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4200 in July?$5.00Aug 1, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$5.00Aug 1, 20:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?$40.00Aug 1, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on August 4?$1.50Jul 29, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $119K on August 4?$1.90Jul 29, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?$1.03Jul 29, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$3.58Jul 19, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4200 in July?$4.25Jul 19, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$2.10Jul 19, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $117K and $118K on July 18?$15.00Jul 19, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?$3.15Jul 16, 15:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $8.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 14, 20:56 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 7, 20:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.