Straight-Greenhouse
0xed63522369b69336871a6c85e9fda5607514e501
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$1.63
Total PnL
$-0.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS confirms Havana Syndrome–causing device by March 31?$1.43Jan 16, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.44Jan 1, 08:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roma win the 2025–26 Serie A league?$1.23Jan 1, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.90Dec 27, 02:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.45Dec 24, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLBased FDV above $500M one day after launch?$0.38Dec 22, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$8.80Dec 20, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLTheo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$0.71Dec 16, 08:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?$2.69Dec 16, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBased FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.28Dec 14, 13:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?$1.01Dec 10, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?$1.13Dec 9, 04:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 109m?$1.03Dec 3, 17:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTheo FDV above $700M one day after launch?$1.18Dec 2, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Wicked: For Good" Second Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 109m?$1.02Nov 28, 18:19 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30? $1.15Nov 28, 12:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?$0.92Nov 22, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30? $1.15Nov 22, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Zootopia 2" 5-Day Opening Box Office be between 143m and 157m?$1.22Nov 18, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$1.25Nov 17, 03:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $1.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 01:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 16, 05:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.