Wasteful-Centre
0xed63a04beddb87180027ee51f9acf73f7e44e1c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$53.70
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$5.78
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
320 shares @ 25.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$46.40
$-33.60
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
86 shares @ 46.6¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$7.30
$-32.70
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?
1204 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 31?
1191 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-110.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.03
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-10.19
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Plane" during his Epstein testimony?
728 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?
497 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?
396 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$82.56Jul 21, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$26.67Jul 21, 09:10 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$51.89Jul 21, 09:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?$150.60Jul 16, 19:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?$100.00Jul 11, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$80.00Jul 11, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$80.00Jul 11, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$23.69Jul 11, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$200.00Jul 10, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?$40.00Jul 10, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026?$1.00Jul 10, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?$15.00Jul 10, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?$10.40Jul 10, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by July 15?$1.04Jul 10, 11:28 UTC
- REDEEMFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$126.58Jul 10, 00:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$253.16Jul 10, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$100.63Jul 8, 10:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$138.96Jul 8, 10:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$92.12Jul 8, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England be the furthest advancing UEFA nation at the World Cup?$125.64Jul 8, 09:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $69.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 00:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.