Hopeful-Pear
0xed65c6c6fefde26c99da07b58f13ca18e10688a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$10.62
Total PnL
$-32.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 14.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$5.48
$0.48
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25 shares @ 20.4¢·now 16.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.01
$-0.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
1 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
28 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
8 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$1.06Jun 2, 03:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$1.01May 31, 02:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.32May 30, 02:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$0.00May 30, 02:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET$1.34May 29, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.02May 29, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$0.00May 29, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.01May 29, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$5.12May 29, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 29, 15:20 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $2.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 06:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 03:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".