Timely-Goodness
0xed7676ca3b7f3c7b473e0ad595bb22b457ab8ef1
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.86
Realised
$1.17
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on May 28?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
60 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on May 28?
42 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on June 5?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 28?
21 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on May 28?
14 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 30?
11 shares @ 8.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
10 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 30?
6 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 30?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$106.50Jun 12, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$110.63Jun 12, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$96.00Jun 12, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$117.50Jun 9, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$430.15Jun 8, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$298.17Jun 8, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$65.83Jun 8, 11:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$67.31Jun 8, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$23.69Jun 8, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$250.00Jun 8, 06:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.57Jun 7, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$1.55Jun 7, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$2.50Jun 7, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.83Jun 7, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.77Jun 7, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$1.55Jun 7, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.00Jun 7, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.00Jun 7, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$1.50Jun 7, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$0.60Jun 7, 06:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $28.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 17:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 05:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.