0xed793a7c7191c45b339602cba853bce3fb82fce7
0xed793a7c7191c45b339602cba853bce3fb82fce7
Wallet digest
Activity score
28/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-23.16
Realised
$-11.58
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 22?
5 shares @ 14.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$5.00
$4.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 43°F or below on March 13?
30 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on March 23?
28 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on March 22?
15 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.65
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on March 21?
15 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 22-23°F on March 17?
15 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.70
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on March 19?
10 shares @ 17.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.75
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on March 25?
5 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-0.55
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on March 23?$0.00Jun 10, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on March 23?$0.00May 24, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 43°F or below on March 13?$0.00May 24, 17:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on March 25?$0.00May 24, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 22?$0.00May 24, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on March 19?$0.00May 24, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 22-23°F on March 17?$0.00May 24, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on March 21?$0.00May 24, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on March 22?$0.00May 24, 17:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on March 23?$0.00May 24, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 43°F or below on March 13?$0.00May 24, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on March 25?$0.00May 24, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on March 22?$0.00May 24, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C or higher on March 19?$0.00May 24, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 22-23°F on March 17?$0.00May 24, 16:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C or higher on March 21?$0.00May 24, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on March 22?$0.00May 24, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 84°F or higher on March 23?$0.00May 24, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be 43°F or below on March 13?$0.00May 24, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C or higher on March 25?$0.00May 24, 16:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 15:49 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 07:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.