Incomparable-Display
0xed7e4f93b4bcd09b34ece1d0655f27ac79eb2fe2
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$8.6K
Total PnL
$-503.06
Realised
$37.37
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?
6352 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$6.3K
$148.43
- NO
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?
1310 shares @ 79.6¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$-21.00
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1000 shares @ 79.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$944.69
$146.98
- YES
Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
1241 shares @ 45.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$155.09
$-403.24
- NO
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
622 shares @ 49.4¢·now 21.5¢·exp Sep 10, 2026$133.73
$-173.71
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-65.00
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score
200 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-104.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
200 shares @ 24.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-48.70
- YES
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
100 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?$220.32Jul 23, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$199.37Jul 23, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?$259.67Jul 21, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$99.37Jul 21, 18:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce no change at the July 2026 meeting?$109.42Jul 21, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?$81.14Jul 19, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?$25.29Jul 19, 05:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?$4.23Jul 18, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$30.66Jul 17, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$6.67Jul 17, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?$2.67Jul 17, 03:10 UTC
- REWARD$3.34Jul 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?$104.02Jul 16, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?$8.53Jul 16, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?$21.32Jul 16, 08:02 UTC
- REWARD$1.99Jul 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?$21.48Jul 15, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?$59.52Jul 15, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?$4.26Jul 15, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYViktor Orbán arrested by December 31?$85.26Jul 15, 20:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
60% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $90.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 13, 14:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.