Quixotic-Advertising
0xed88c79dfaa0c36db1d4fa8ea4da612f81a3e838
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$8.0K
Total PnL
$-58.2K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7893 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$6.4K
$2.5K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7893 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$-2.5K
- NO
Will UBS fail by June 30, 2026?
92 shares @ 96.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$91.16
$2.63
- NO
Will Scotiabank fail by June 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.73
$0.74
- RAPTORS
Celtics vs. Raptors
13000 shares @ 53.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-7.0K
- VITALITY
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs
10000 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.4K
- NATUS VINCERE
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
8300 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- GRIZZLIES
Jazz vs. Grizzlies
7440 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-6.3K
- FURIA
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
7354 shares @ 67.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 12, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
- SPIRIT
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner
7352 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-5.0K
Recent activity
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$500.00May 15, 05:52 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$3.0KMay 15, 05:51 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)$3.1KMay 15, 05:51 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.5KMay 15, 05:50 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5$575.65May 15, 05:49 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.4KMay 15, 05:41 UTC
- REDEEMGolden Knights vs. Ducks$2.4KMay 15, 05:40 UTC
- MERGEWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$2.0KMay 15, 05:22 UTC
- SPLITWill JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$5.5KMay 15, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5$1.92May 15, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5$14.96May 15, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5$454.56May 15, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)$1.8KMay 15, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)$273.56May 15, 03:11 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox$11.7KMay 15, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Ducks$2.2KMay 15, 02:41 UTC
- TRADESELLPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Sox$2.0KMay 15, 02:14 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$38.98May 15, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.70May 15, 00:12 UTC
- REWARD$2.56May 15, 00:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $553.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 02:35 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 05:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".