Grown-Frog
0xed89619c4d79bca770fadae945afccb70656e266
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$513.71
Total PnL
$-3.3K
Realised
$-597.75
Win rate
0%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
61811 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$463.58
$-83.26
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
779 shares @ 4.1¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$25.31
$-6.62
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?
192 shares @ 5.2¢·now 11.4¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$21.92
$11.92
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4?
5405 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$2.70
$-7.30
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 4?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.19
$-9.81
- YES
ICE shooter charged by March 31?
10842 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
5367 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-149.89
- YES
Will Solana dip to $20 in February?
3500 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-24.81
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
1936 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-195.00
- YES
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
988 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-167.61
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?$0.06Jun 4, 15:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4?$16.22Jun 4, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 4?$10.68Jun 4, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4?$10.70Jun 4, 13:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7?$117.74Jun 4, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 4, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?$0.00Jun 4, 03:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?$25.64Jun 4, 02:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 4, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?$10.66Jun 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7?$21.16Jun 3, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7?$10.43Jun 3, 01:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jun 3, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$10.50Jun 2, 13:17 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$37.96Jun 2, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$20.01Jun 2, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$20.17Jun 2, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$4.14Jun 2, 01:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.27Jun 2, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$15.60Jun 2, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $11.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 15:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".