Knobby-Baby-Emphasis
0xed8be88fe1705e8ce048d684c5844212f7a2325a
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-22.40
Realised
$0.17
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
1050 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
364 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
105 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
10 shares @ 38.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
9 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-4.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
7 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
5 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 7, 2026$0.00
$-3.75
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
1 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.51
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Jul 31, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$1.12Jul 31, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.12Jul 31, 09:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$1.12Jul 31, 09:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$2.31Jul 31, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.05Jul 31, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$1.06Jul 31, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$2.65Jul 31, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.05Jul 31, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$1.07Jul 31, 09:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.09Jul 31, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$1.05Jul 31, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.18Jul 31, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.06Jul 31, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.18Jul 31, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.06Jul 31, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$2.97Jul 29, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$3.02Jul 29, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$2.15Jul 29, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$2.32Jul 29, 18:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 17:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 31, 10:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.