Thankful-Carnation
0xeda518d215efc368c02bf10532ce24fcab02e16d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$1.6K
Total PnL
$303.95
Realised
$3.09
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
602 shares @ 65.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$544.72
$153.19
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of July 20 2026?
183 shares @ 40.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$139.77
$66.69
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 Week of July 20 2026?
110 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$108.94
$0.72
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of July 20 2026?
115 shares @ 88.3¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$104.30
$2.53
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of July 20 2026?
160 shares @ 39.9¢·now 47.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$75.16
$11.39
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?
130 shares @ 40.3¢·now 48.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$62.77
$10.19
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of July 20 2026?
205 shares @ 13.7¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$62.60
$34.55
- YES
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?
224 shares @ 22.7¢·now 25.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$55.98
$5.16
- YES
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of July 20 2026?
121 shares @ 47.9¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$55.69
$-2.35
- YES
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.60 in July?
737 shares @ 8.2¢·now 6.7¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$49.37
$-11.29
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of July 20 2026?$2.47Jul 22, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,950 Week of July 20 2026?$8.08Jul 22, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,250 Week of July 20 2026?$0.72Jul 22, 03:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?$1.34Jul 22, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $64 in July?$1.61Jul 22, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of July 20 2026?$2.59Jul 22, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?$1.13Jul 22, 02:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of July 20 2026?$1.80Jul 22, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $62 Week of July 20 2026?$5.46Jul 22, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?$2.26Jul 22, 01:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?$1.31Jul 22, 01:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?$0.04Jul 22, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 Week of July 20 2026?$1.22Jul 22, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$1.14Jul 22, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$2.28Jul 22, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$2.29Jul 22, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in July?$2.10Jul 22, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$1.05Jul 22, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of July 20 2026?$1.80Jul 22, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?$1.16Jul 22, 01:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 01:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 03:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.