0xedafc523537800d83224934a27f401ba9dda895d
0xedafc523537800d83224934a27f401ba9dda895d
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
171
Open notional
$5.5K
Total PnL
$-9.9K
Realised
$-1.1K
Win rate
53%
73 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 171- YES
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?
3346 shares @ 42.1¢·now 41.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.4K
$-37.32
- NO
Will the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?
1358 shares @ 88.4¢·now 67.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$911.57
$-289.00
- NO
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,053,000 and $1,089,000 on September 30?
868 shares @ 85.8¢·now 79.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$689.75
$-55.07
- NO
Will the median home value in the US be between $447,000 and $454,000 on September 30?
659 shares @ 95.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$655.31
$29.01
- NO
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,017,000 and $1,053,000 on September 30?
570 shares @ 92.5¢·now 94.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$539.22
$12.23
- YES
Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?
1577 shares @ 32.1¢·now 13.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$204.99
$-301.19
- NO
Will the median home value in Miami be less than $1,017,000 on September 30?
201 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$197.88
$7.22
- NO
Will the median home value in Miami be at least $1,196,000 on September 30?
201 shares @ 95.0¢·now 90.8¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$182.61
$-8.34
- NO
Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,161,000 and $1,196,000 on September 30?
160 shares @ 95.0¢·now 86.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$137.60
$-14.40
- NO
Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $530,000 and $536,000 on September 30?
140 shares @ 58.4¢·now 79.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$111.44
$29.64
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$10.00Jul 9, 21:30 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.49Jul 4, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$19.94Jul 4, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?$8.60Jul 3, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?$14.40Jul 3, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the Chicago Metro be between $340,000 and $345,000 on September 30?$5.03Jul 3, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in NYC be between $555,000 and $582,000 on September 30?$9.90Jul 3, 12:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the median home value in NYC be between $555,000 and $582,000 on September 30?$9.90Jul 3, 12:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30?$9.05Jul 3, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?$18.63Jul 3, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?$19.00Jul 3, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?$18.63Jul 3, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?$18.58Jul 3, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?$13.22Jul 3, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?$18.58Jul 3, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?$13.22Jul 3, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?$18.58Jul 3, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?$8.44Jul 3, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in the US be between $419,000 and $426,000 on September 30?$18.58Jul 3, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in Miami be between $1,089,000 and $1,125,000 on September 30?$22.71Jul 3, 06:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
53% win rate over 73 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 36/100.
73 closed markets, 53% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $15.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 06:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 73 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.