Lined-Hull
0xedb1ae627ce9299213a02766d773eae35ef36b93
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$3.70
Total PnL
$-86.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?
4 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2025$3.70
$1.70
- NO
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
4040 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.20
- YES
Thailand strikes Cambodia by August 1?
673 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-41.27
- NO
Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?
77 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?
29 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
24 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in July?
13 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by August 1?$24.79Jul 30, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$24.79Jul 30, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by August 1?$2.74Jul 30, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.74Jul 30, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by August 1?$13.74Jul 30, 07:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$13.74Jul 30, 07:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?$17.20Jul 30, 07:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon register the America Party in July?$10.27Jul 30, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?$2.00Jul 30, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?$1.00Jul 30, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GPT-5 be released by August 31?$10.00Jul 24, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$13.00Jul 23, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$5.00Jul 10, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Jul 8, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$1.00Jul 8, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon register the America Party in July?$5.00Jul 8, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?$5.00Jul 8, 04:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$2.00Jul 8, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diddy be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?$1.00Jul 8, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$3.00Jul 8, 04:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
24 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 24
- Avg trade size
- $7.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 04:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 30, 07:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.