Honest-Photograph
0xedb413a6f72d59bbfe1d939ee6443a612b20a0c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
153
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.0K
Realised
$-1.7K
Win rate
1%
130 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 153- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
7823 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-199.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
3744 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 4, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
2500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
2294 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-263.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
1886 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-388.86
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
1211 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
1100 shares @ 31.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-347.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
1000 shares @ 58.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-588.78
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET
999 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-311.63
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
997 shares @ 60.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.10Aug 18, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.16Aug 18, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.15Aug 18, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$5.15Aug 18, 13:41 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$38.78Aug 15, 06:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$23.15Aug 15, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$71.43Aug 9, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$26.14Aug 9, 12:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$81.86Aug 9, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$74.47Aug 9, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$25.35Aug 9, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$25.34Aug 9, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$25.35Aug 9, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$26.41Aug 9, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$25.62Aug 9, 11:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$287.43Aug 9, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$25.21Aug 9, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$25.26Aug 9, 11:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$25.37Aug 9, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$25.47Aug 9, 11:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 130 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
130 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $43.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 8, 10:47 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 13:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 130 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.