Big-Hearted-Crocodile
0xedcd012b8d7b8e465d0a322de02b147b01042081
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-511.94
Realised
$-113.01
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Sanseitō win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
7685 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-246.25
- YES
Will the Centrist Reform Alliance win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
4041 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-67.16
- YES
Will Sanseitō win the most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
2000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will the Japan Innovation Party win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
1072 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.34
- YES
Will Sanseitō win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?
575 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-58.86
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
23 shares @ 32.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 10, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
13 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
10 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-0.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
10 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-7.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Centrist Reform Alliance win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$2.00Feb 8, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Japan Innovation Party win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$1.00Feb 8, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sanseitō win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$2.71Feb 8, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Centrist Reform Alliance win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$1.00Feb 8, 08:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Liberal Democratic Party loose any seats in Japanese snap election?$0.49Feb 8, 08:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?$0.86Feb 8, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Japan Innovation Party win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$1.00Feb 8, 08:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sanseitō win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$1.00Feb 8, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Centrist Reform Alliance win the third-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$2.88Feb 7, 13:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LDP win a majority in the 2026 Japanese snap election?$2.02Feb 7, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Japan Innovation Party win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$1.34Feb 7, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanseitō win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$0.03Feb 7, 01:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanseitō win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$0.03Feb 6, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanseitō win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$0.03Feb 5, 22:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanseitō win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$0.05Feb 5, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanseitō win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$0.88Feb 4, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanseitō win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$0.13Feb 4, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanseitō win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$0.12Feb 3, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanseitō win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$0.11Feb 3, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sanseitō win the second-most seats in the 2026 Japanese general election?$0.08Feb 3, 05:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 21:15 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 8, 08:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".