Stupendous-Waiter
0xedebddd28e90f5806847ddf769d6268923345806
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$54.16
Total PnL
$0.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
38 shares @ 98.3¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$37.69
$0.29
- NO
Will Microsoft have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.87
$-0.00
- NO
Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.86
$-0.01
- NO
Will Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.86
$-0.00
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.84
$-0.00
- NO
Will ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.82
$-0.00
- NO
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.82
$-0.00
- NO
Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.81
$-0.00
- NO
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.81
$-0.00
- NO
Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.80
$-0.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.82Jul 8, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.87Jul 8, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.84Jul 8, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.87Jul 8, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.81Jul 8, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tencent have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.86Jul 8, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.81Jul 8, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ByteDance have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.82Jul 8, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.80Jul 8, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C or below on July 7?$1.23Jul 8, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 7?$1.25Jul 8, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on July 7?$1.25Jul 8, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on July 7?$1.27Jul 8, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on July 7?$1.28Jul 8, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on July 7?$1.30Jul 8, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?$1.31Jul 8, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 7?$1.46Jul 8, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on July 7?$1.46Jul 8, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 7?$1.53Jul 8, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on July 7?$1.60Jul 8, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $1.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 22, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 11:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.