True-Shallot
0xedf091b9debb7a15675ee6c72198ad203a0a979c
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
97
Open notional
$1.68
Total PnL
$-133.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Safepoint's market cap be between $1.3B and $1.5B at market close on IPO day?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.28
$-0.72
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
143 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.21
$-0.79
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on May 1?
1815 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 1?
297 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
278 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$3.95Jun 8, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 8?$3.00Jun 8, 10:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.04Jun 8, 10:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$3.13Jun 8, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 7?$1.04Jun 6, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 7?$1.04Jun 6, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026?$1.05Jun 6, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 48m?$1.05Jun 6, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Amazing Digital Circus: The Last Act" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 14m?$1.00Jun 6, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$3.06Jun 6, 03:19 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$1.91Jun 6, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$1.03Jun 6, 02:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "1/52 Project" win Tony Honors for Excellence in the Theatre at the 2026 Tony Awards?$1.57Jun 5, 12:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026?$1.00Jun 4, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$1.03Jun 4, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "1/52 Project" win Tony Honors for Excellence in the Theatre at the 2026 Tony Awards?$1.02Jun 4, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Innio's market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day?$1.03Jun 2, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Safepoint's market cap be between $1.3B and $1.5B at market close on IPO day?$1.04Jun 2, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Quantinuum's market cap be between $16B and $19B at market close on IPO day?$1.04Jun 2, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 3?$1.03Jun 2, 09:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 13:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 23:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.