Soupy-Fixture
0xedf19b34222eb9f8ae52dea1fddb4f482d1da2fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.9K
Realised
$-46.07
Win rate
37%
27 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8AM ET
25000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 12AM ET
7838 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 4?
3434 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2025$0.00
$-280.49
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $106K on May 30 at 5 PM ET?
2905 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2025$0.00
$-285.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 3?
1638 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $106K and $108K on June 6?
741 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 6, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?
704 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2025$0.00
$-107.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2700 and $2800 on May 16?
699 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2025$0.00
$-35.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.03Jul 18, 23:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 29?$10.25Jun 29, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.05Jun 28, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$1.04Jun 28, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$5.17Jun 28, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$5.17Jun 28, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$1.04Jun 28, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$5.17Jun 28, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 29?$4.15Jun 28, 05:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 28?$1.03Jun 28, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.07Jun 27, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$1.05Jun 27, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?$3.13Jun 26, 23:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 26?$1.03Jun 26, 16:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?$8.57Jun 26, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26?$3.14Jun 25, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$3.56Jun 23, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.05Jun 23, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.05Jun 23, 01:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$4.88Jun 23, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
37% win rate over 27 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 26/100.
27 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 09:42 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 23:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 27 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.