Flimsy-Downgrade
0xedf2498537fdc8c028c75e52429c0b2c98661109
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
38
Open notional
$79.23
Total PnL
$-71.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 38- NO
Will Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
23 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$23.07
$2.77
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or below on March 2?
23 shares @ 93.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$22.82
$1.57
- YES
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
20 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$19.59
$1.76
- NO
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $275-$280 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 2 – Mar 6?
14 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$13.75
$0.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 6PM ET
233 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.03
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?
232 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.17
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 26?
214 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 26, 2026$0.00
$-3.63
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 27?
206 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.65
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on January 30?
191 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.81
- YES
Will Only Murders in the Building win Best Ensemble in a Comedy Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
181 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.61
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$23.79Jun 4, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 16?$47.20May 29, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $80 on May 27?$1.44May 27, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 26?$2.54May 26, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?$4.46May 22, 21:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$146.26May 22, 04:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 12?$147.08May 14, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 20?$153.95May 8, 03:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on January 29?$0.00May 1, 23:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down on April 25?$2.06Apr 25, 14:51 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Apr 25, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on April 20?$152.56Apr 20, 02:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spark launch a token by March 31?$173.57Apr 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 16?$46.02Apr 16, 03:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on April 12?$145.90Apr 11, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on March 27?$188.25Apr 11, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on April 1?$1.70Apr 1, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTom Lee mindshare all time high by March 31?$1.90Mar 31, 19:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on January 30?$0.00Mar 31, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spark launch a token by March 31?$171.14Mar 31, 05:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $47.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 16:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 10:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".